I know this article is from former Tory seat warming MSP Adam Tomkins but to be honest is says a lot about the Tory mindset but also I suspect the mindset of too many people in Scotland, the established order, and sadly the Courts that I no longer trust, if I ever really did, to make a fair judgement, and I actually I find it a bit chilling to be honest.
Tompkins talks of three reasons why Nicola Sturgeon will not get her preferred choice of a referendum anytime soon.
Reason 1 – it is not what Scots want. They want their economy fixed, their health service repaired, and their schools improved. For sure, they do not want to be told by a patrician government in London that they can never have another independence referendum. But they don’t want one any time soon. They want it on the horizon, but no closer than that, thank you very much.
I would tend to agree that he is correct, just now, on this one. Other than die hard yes supporters most people I know, who favour a referendum, are sadly thinking that it should be held between the next 3 to 5 years. I do suspect that might narrow if Boris Johnson calls an early General Election (which I think he will), and the Tories win that election with or without Johnson as Prime Minister as I also believe he is on his way out now. Either way though, no matter who is Prime Minister Westminster is never going to agree to another referendum anytime soon, they are too afraid even though if were them I would be going for one soon as the sooner it is the more likely the union wins.
Reason 2 – there is no political consensus that the independence question should be put once again to the people of Scotland. Before the 2014 referendum, all parties agreed that the question should be asked. The “settled will of the Scottish people” matters in Scotland, where that phrase is well-worn and widely understood.
While it is clear the unionists are afraid to ask the question, Should Scotland be an independent country? it is also clear that there is a mandate to hold another referendum and Scottish voters have said that they believe a second referendum should take place at some point, with 31% saying it should be within the next two years. (The Week) I find the continued denial of the mandate and of democracy chilling, this is the type of attitude that will lead to unrest in the longer term and in accepting this state of affairs Scotland would be accepting that it is a colony and not a country, that can never be allowed to happen in any shape or form.
Reason 3 – The UK Supreme Court (now presided over by a Scottish judge, Lord Reed) has gone out of its way to make clear that it will have no hesitation in holding the Scottish Parliament within the limits of its legislative competence. Any attempt to trigger a second referendum using Holyrood legislation would face two insurmountable legal obstacles. Not only is the Union and constitutional powers the preserve of Westminster, but the Scotland Act separately insists that nothing in it changes the UK Government’s ability to make laws for the people of Scotland.
In other words, devolution is with us to stay and even the Supreme Court is in the mood to flex whatever legal muscle it needs to ensure that neither Holyrood, Nicola Sturgeon, nor anyone else damages or dilutes Westminster’s reach across the country. Without Westminster’s consent, prospects for a second independence referendum in Scotland are all but dead, no matter how much Nicola Sturgeon may puff and posture in front of her party faithful.
The Supreme Court should not be allowed to ride rough shot on the democratic aspirations of the Scottish people based on a treaty, that allegedly is voluntary, from 1706 irrespective of what that treaty says allowing basically the English Government and English Voters to decide the fate of Scotland and it’s people, that would in my opinion be a crime. Tompkins implies that the Court will deny the wishes of the Scottish Parliament, and even if they didn’t, Westminster would just change the law anyway to ensure that Scotland remains trapped in the corrupt and disgusting thing called the United Kingdom and perpetual English Tory Rule.
That people makes us a colony and trapped for all time, that cannot and must not be allowed to be the outcome, we cannot allow this state of affairs to come about and if the SNP and Sturgeon do not make plans very soon we have got to remove them from power and put in place people who will fight for Scotland’s independence. I also remain convinced that a referendum is the worst possible outcome for Scotland, Sturgeon (maybe knowingly) made her biggest mistake tying Scotland to a Section 30 agreement with Westmonster , no, when Johnson calls an early General Election that election needs to be a plebiscite election in Scotland with a single manifesto pledge from all pro yes parties –
If you return a pro yes Member of Parliament to Westminster, and if a majority of pro yes MPS are returned, then a constitutional convention will be held in Scotland, the Treaty of Union will be revoked at Holyrood, and immediate negotiations will be held with the UK Government on the division of assets.