There have been recent comments being made about the question of where does the First Minster stand on the issue of Indy2. Now I blogged recently and touched on the subject and to a degree when John Curtice was quoted in the Courier and some the comments on the blog show that the issue of indy2, and when to call it, does divide opinion, but when I was thinking about it again yesterday after reading Iain’s article I did begin to wonder again what is the First Ministers thoughts on this, we just don’t really know other than let’s wait and see what Brexit looks like. Lesley Riddoch ( my choice to lead an indy2 debate) tweeted last week, and wrote in the National:
“Nicola has been gey quiet for a woman about to embark on the political adventure of a lifetime within the next 12 months”. Lesley also writes, and I can see where she is coming from, “Methinks worry about levels of popular support for independence by the party set up to deliver that constitutional goal, quickly becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. If the electorate senses the keenest advocates aren’t making a bold, confident case, it hardly bolsters confidence amongst the waverers”.
Iain MacWhirter, writing in the Sunday Herald yesterday ( I bought one as I needed change and won’t buy one again, waste of money) but anyway, Iain is asking if party unity is starting to be strained and is of the view that Nicola Sturgeon could back a Brexit referendum as a way of delaying an indy referendum and seizing the political initiative back given the shambles that is Labour, and the Conservatives. Iain points out that this strategy is a risky one as once Brexit is decided, and the border with the EU is Scotland and not N Ireland, then people may feel that breaking away from the UK is an even bigger risk. Iain rightfully points out that Nicola Sturgeon ” is not a populist ” and it has also been pointed out that the First Minister was at the head of the recent LGBT march in Edinburgh but has not been seen at any of the AUOB marches in support of Scottish Independence.
I must admit I also have a lot of sympathy with Peter A Bell when he says.
“It now seems certain that Nicola Sturgeon has chosen not to seize the opportunity to hold a new referendum in September. It looks increasingly unlikely that it will even be this year. It appears that she has opted not to seize the initiative, but to listen instead to the siren voices around her urging that we constantly wait to see what the British government does next. Then wait some more to see what they do after that. Then put off doing anything until we see how that pans out. Then postpone a decision until…. And so it goes on”.
All of the parties will hold conferences in October and for many that will be when Nicola Sturgeon will make some kind of announcement, maybe even a bold one, but given the First Minsters silence, or near as, on the issue of indy2 will this be kicked into the long grass as some suspect? I have made my view clear on this that any delay beyond 2021 damages the chances of success for any yes vote as there are no guarantees of what Holyrood will look like after 2021 and if yes will still have a mandate. I agree with Peter Curran when he tweeted,
So while I accept that I have touched on this subject before I am interested in finding out what others think, is Nicola Sturgeon sitting on the fence and maybe listening to MPs such as Pete Wishart who started a huge debate a year ago when he called for any vote to be delayed until after 2021. Politics is a gamble, timing and events dictate, I am more wrong than ever right, as is pointed out weekly be a certain Scottish Liberal Democrat I know, I won’t shame him but his name starts with D and end in aniel, but is the First Minister prevaricating on the issue of indy2 which many state and which in law could mean unfaithfulness.
I do feel to a degree that the issue of indy2 is being dragged out by the SNP. I can understand some of the reasons why, but don’t really accept them, but I don’t know if Nicola Sturgeon is sitting on the fence and that is a valid question to ask. It’s not about sowing doubt, splitting the movement, doing the unionist job for them. Time is running out, October is weeks away as Peter Curran points out. There will be those in the trust Nicola camp, all will be okay so don’t ask the question, but being a cynical old fart I don’t really trust any politicians, but I do put Nicola at the top of my trust list as far as that goes, but we need to know and we need to know soon, so maybe Lesley, Iain, and Peter have a point.
Allegedly confirmed. Disappointing to say the least and may cause problems.