Justine Greening, Tory MP, has thrown her weight behind another EU referendum which is being reported as an attack on Theresa May.
Now I don’t really care if the Tories are fighting like ferrets in a sack, they can tear themselves apart for all I care, but the issue of another EU referendum is starting to pick up pace a little since the the EU White Paper came out.
Justine Greening is proposing that voters be allowed to choose from three options: May’s final deal, a no-deal Brexit or staying in the EU in a future vote. Allegedly the Prime Minister has said
In April 44% of people felt that there should be a vote on any Brexit deal. This remains roughly the same as a similar poll in January. Interestingly 51% think there should not be a second vote on the EU but if there were 55% would vote to remain a member.
Now we know that May and the brexiters are against, we know that Labour don’t know what they want and we know the Liberal Democrat’s support another referendum for the results they don’t like and not for the ones they do like.
Mike Russell, SNP Constitutional Relations Minister, has called for the Government to give voters a say on the final outcome of the talks between Britain and the European Union.
I am pretty much of the view that a referendum on any deal with the EU will make a referendum on Scottish independence less likely. My reason for believing this is that I believe any vote on the deal will be against any brexit deal, and while that could result in a hard Brexit, I think May would just try to keep a transitional period on going with the UK remaining with the status quo for an indefinite period, or as Donald Tusk said in January hearts in the EU are still open for the UK to remain a member
but those of you who are more on the ball with the EU issue could help me out here as to if that is possible.
Now many think that Scotland voting differently from England for a second time makes independence more likely but for me that is a high risk strategy. I suspect many people as a result of another EU vote could vote to remain in the EU which kills indy2 for a long time, or if we wait too long to call indy2 fall for a project fear 2, or what they are told by the unionists is the less insecure option, and that could be remaining a part of the U.K.
Are the stakes now getting higher for indy2 and can we risk that scenario?
I think that we have to allow Brexit to play out, then we go for Indy2 as anything other than that feels like a smudge, plays into the unionists hands, and we have done that enough. As Pete Bell wrote in this months IScot, we need to stop being nice and I would add playing the game by their rules.