The Tories, and many in the right-wing press, seem to believe that the UK will get a good trade deal with the rest of the European Union because of the amount of European jobs that depend on UK trade. They allege that 5.8 million EU jobs depend on the UK. Conveniently forgetting to mention that roughly 3.5 million UK jobs depend on the EU.
The European Commission has made it clear that there will be no access to the single market without the free movement of people, while the UK Government have made it clear that it’s priority is to control EU free movement of people. EU member states have made it very clear that they will veto any Brexit deal that does not include free movement and that any deal will need the 27 members to agree before any deal can be completed.
EU rules also state that any economic deal can only be negotiated after Article 50 is implemented by a simple majority vote in the EU Parliament. So where does this leave us? David Davis, Conservative MP and Minister for Brexit, has admitted that the UK may have to leave the EU without any formal trade deal being in place and therefore relying on World Trade Organisation Tariffs. However, the Head of the WTO has said that the UK faces having to renegotiate trade deals with 160 countries around the world which would mean effectively starting again.
Everyone agrees that negotiating new trade deals will be a huge task to undertake. We do have a wee problem though, well actually a pretty big one really, we actually don’t have any trade negotiators at all and those British ones with any experience actually work for the EU. You would have thought that someone might have considered this before the referendum, well apparently David Cameron and the Tories certainly didn’t.
This leaves us with many problems and in a really really big mess. To think the yoons and yoon media constantly said the White Paper didn’t answer the questions that needed answered during the Indyref. But I am starting to believe that, like the cartoons below, Britain might find the negotiations more difficult to undertake and the world a lonely place for the good old United Kingdom because the EU is not going to agree any deal without free movement of people.
As the Brexit days go on, and things start to become less muddy, more and more people I hope will see that the only alternative to this almighty mess is a YES vote in any future referendum, and for us to remember that what we on the YES side have is: