There has been some talk about the Scottish Government holding another referendum in 2017 on the net today. Maybe the question should be, should we hold another one in 2017 on the back of the EU Referendum, and can we win it. I don’t want to get into any arguments about Westminster giving permission; it would only be advisory etc, arguments for a different day.
I blogged back in May let’s not rush into another referendum, so please excuse me for raising this issue again but my opinion hasn’t changed, even on the back of the EU result. We cannot and must not rush into an Indy2 on the back of recent developments and with the same arguments about the economy and the pound for example as we had the last time.
Many people also voted leave in the EU Referendum, myself included, for a wide variety of different reasons, and as many as 34% of SNP voters voted leave. That and the need to really define our arguments need to be taken on board before we rush into anything.
Looking at the polls as highlighted by James at ScotGoesPop http://scotgoespop.blogspot.co.uk/2016/07/majority-for-independence-in-new-scot.html who had Yes on 50.8% and No on 49.2% as recently as the 30th July. Clearly that is not enough to be sure of victory and a perfect example of having to wait and see how the dust settles. I appreciate we are all impatient to get away from this rotten Union as quickly as possible, but the next time we have to win, so we do need to be patient.
It has been reported that roughly 45% of Scots view themselves as equally Scottish and British, more British than Scottish or British not Scottish. Now that might not reflect their politics but how people feel does impact on any future vote. I know a few people who will never vote YES and I know some who could be persuaded, but the journey is going to take patience on our part and any rush into another referendum could backfire badly.
So can I ask that we take a deep breath, lets hone our arguments, continue to challenge the status quo, challenge the bias media and in some ways sit back and watch the Tories continue to dig their own grave and Labour continue to implode on their way to self-destruction possibly, the Liberals right now don’t matter as a political party of influence. I would also ask that the SNP and the Greens be more inclusive of the YES movement and take on board what the boots on the ground are feeding back the next time because I know people who tried to tell people that the EU and Economy arguments were not working but people didn’t listen or didn’t hear.